Since "Between Barack and a Hard Place" is well past the 10,000 post limit I suggest we start a new thread to discuss what the second Obama administration is going to look like.
It might also be amusing for people to post their predictions for what the World and the US will look like in 2016. That way we can dig this out in four years time and embarass the heck out of each other.
I'll start this with a couple of points:
1. Per Realclearpolitics, Obama's job pproval has hit 50%. Rassmusen actually has him on 52% approval. I think i'll move uf for a week or two and then stabilize - peopel love a winner.
2. I expect one of the first issues Obama addresses internationally will be Syria. I don't expect an air war much less a ground campaign. I do expect increased assistance to the rebels; assistance to Turkey and Jordan in setting up so-called "safe zones" inside Syria; supprte for Turkish proposals (unveiled within hours of tthe US elction) to establish a no-fly zone in northern Syria enforced by ground-to air-missile batteries loaned from NATO and a concerted attemtpt to force Assad to negotiate a political transition.
3. NASA apparently has detailed plans for a manned lunar mission as part of a broader program aimed at a manned Mars mission. They didn't announce this before the eelction for fear that it didn't fit with Romney's budget plans asd could be seen as politcizing the agency.
4. I strongly suspect that Fidel Castro will die before 2016, allowing a possible restoration of diplomatic ties and and end to the embargo.
5. Before the election Obama was hinting that, if re-elected, he'd seek changes to US drug policy. It wouldn't surprise me if, for example, he issued an exective order effectively ending enforcement of federal anti-mariuana laws in Washington and Colorado. (Sorry, "prioritizing enforcement in other states.") Yes, I'm aware of his support for the DEA in his first term.
6. I expect the Dream Act to pass in some form. If the Mexican economy continues to outperform the American economy, I can see many more illegal immigrants choosing ot go back home and illegal immigration becoming a much less important issue in US politics.
7. I see little to no hope of substantive progress on an international agreement to limit GHG emissions. I do however expect to see a lot more of the piecemeal, sectoral programs sseen in Obama's first term, leading me to hope that the US economy can grow without a significant increase in GHG emissions.
A snap-shot of 2016
Economic growth: 3-4%
Budget Deficit: $800 billion.
Yes, i'm a crazy wild-eyed optimist. I left out the bit abotu his farewell world tour where million-strong crowds in newly-democratic Syria and Iran turn out to greeet him and he finishes up with dual speeches in the Israeli capital of Jerusalam and the Palestinian capital of East Jerusalem.