How much will the Avengers movie gross in it's 1st weekend/domestically?

**One More Day** · 04-30-2012, 12:03 PM

Originally Posted by SpideyCzar

Boxoffice.com has it at $170 million opening weekend. http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/...rm_predictions

My firm thinks that's a little high, but it would be awesome if it broke the Harry Potter record.

Your firm???

**SpideyCzar** · 04-30-2012, 12:04 PM

Originally Posted by Lord Bravery

Worse than Green Lantern hahaha. What was GL's opening weekend anyway? Like 60 million or something?

According to Boxofficemojo.com $53,174,303

Was Green Lantern's opening weekend domestically.

**SpideyCzar** · 04-30-2012, 12:05 PM

Originally Posted by One More Day

Your firm???

I work for a marketing firm that analyzes Box Office figures, by running test screenings, that helps Movie Studios accurately gauge consumers awareness of their films.

**One More Day** · 04-30-2012, 12:06 PM

Originally Posted by SpideyCzar

According to Boxofficemojo.com $53,174,303

Was Green Lantern's opening weekend domestically.

Most movies would be thrilled with a 55 million opening weekend

**Lord Bravery** · 04-30-2012, 12:09 PM

Originally Posted by One More Day

Most movies would be thrilled with a 55 million opening weekend

No, they wouldn't. Not if they cost 200 million dollars to make.

**Hulk_Is** · 04-30-2012, 12:29 PM

$170 million or more (New record). I am optimistic.

**bd2999** · 04-30-2012, 12:50 PM

Most movies would be thrilled with a 55 million opening weekend

Most movies also do not have such a large budget. The average cost for most movies is honestly going to probably be around $30-$50 million or less I would think. There has been a rebirth of movies that cost in the low millions that have done really well, Paranormal Activity and Incidious for instance. If they made 50 million opening it is a monster and they are far into a big profit.

If the film costs $100 million making a $50 million opening is good. For a $200million, well that is a flop. Green Lantern brought in that amount of money and typically a movie will usually bring in about double or triple, depending on the movie, its initial openin weekend number. So that would not even come close to covering costs.

I think the movie will finish over $160 million somewhere.

**Prince Of Orphans** · 04-30-2012, 01:18 PM

I'd guess about 150 mil

**The_Ronin** · 04-30-2012, 02:32 PM

Originally Posted by bd2999

Most movies also do not have such a large budget. The average cost for most movies is honestly going to probably be around $30-$50 million or less I would think. There has been a rebirth of movies that cost in the low millions that have done really well, Paranormal Activity and Incidious for instance. If they made 50 million opening it is a monster and they are far into a big profit.

If the film costs $100 million making a $50 million opening is good. For a $200million, well that is a flop. Green Lantern brought in that amount of money and typically a movie will usually bring in about double or triple, depending on the movie, its initial openin weekend number. So that would not even come close to covering costs.

I think the movie will finish over $160 million somewhere.

Indeed, For example "Kickass" opened with a relatively anemic 20 million dollar opening weekend, but it cost all of 30 million to make and went on to make almost 100 million dollars globally.

**mikekerrIII** · 04-30-2012, 03:12 PM

Originally Posted by One More Day

Hopefully it will gross around 50-80 million. That would be a good opening I think.

I think it will be 3 or 4 times that at least

**mikekerrIII** · 04-30-2012, 03:14 PM

Originally Posted by The_Ronin

Judging by the reviews and that fact it almost made 200 million overseas in the first week, and early projections it might very well take the top spot away from Potter. Something I Never would of dared to think 2 months ago.

And if it doesn't break it, then it will at least give it a run for its money.

It has broken all record in many or most of the countries that it is open in.

**The_Ronin** · 04-30-2012, 03:29 PM

Originally Posted by mikekerrIII

It has broken all record in many or most of the countries that it is open in.

Yes, it is going to be QUITE profitable. Breaking Potter's record is not unrealistic.

**marvelprince** · 04-30-2012, 04:45 PM

Originally Posted by Lord Bravery

Worse than Green Lantern hahaha. What was GL's opening weekend anyway? Like 60 million or something?

GL made 53.2 million opening weekend, and with a $200 million budget plus $100 million in marketing was considered below expectations. I think WB needed at least another $5-10 mill to hit expectations.

Originally Posted by The_Ronin

Judging by the reviews and that fact it almost made 200 million overseas in the first week, and early projections it might very well take the top spot away from Potter. Something I Never would of dared to think 2 months ago.

And if it doesn't break it, then it will at least give it a run for its money.

Same here. I went from thinking this movie won't even get made, to hoping it would at least make a profit to witnessing a potential box office monster in the making. The real test for the Avengers though will not only be its opening weekend, but whether it has legs. With the great word of mouth I think it'll avoid the huge drop off in the second week of most movies which would be fantastic.