Well, I'm going to try my hand at predicting what these sales estimates will be abilities, which will be difficult considering how I usually tend to be as accurate as Criswell. :)
Anyway, last month was a bit difficult since Detective Comics, not Batman, was used as the template. And this month is just as difficult. Comic books have been trended sharply downward, but for this month, there was a couple of issues which may have seen spikes. Keep in mind that Brightest Day also featured Batman--who this month obviously dominated the charts--and Avengers has the Red Hulk, which I think attracted readers because they wanted to see how much of a trainwreck it was going to be. Not to mention Batman and Robin #16 ending was spoiled by the mainstream media and internet bloggers everywhere which also probably drove up it's sales. So, I decided to look at Green Lantern, New Avengers, Secret Avengers, etc.
So, for arguments sake, lets say Green Lantern #59, if its trend has been continuing, was about 81,000 or so. If we divide that number by it's index, then we get about 694. That 694, when we multiply by 100, gives us the base number for Batman #704. That means, the following top twenty sales estimates for the month of November would look like this (with a little rounding up with the last number):
1. 152.65 BATMAN THE RETURN -- 105,939
2. 146.58 SEP100156-M BATMAN INCORPORATED #1 -- 101,726
3. 137.64 SEP100579-M AVENGERS #7 -- 95,522
4. 127.28 JUL100144-M BATMAN RETURN OF BRUCE WAYNE #6 -- 88,332
5. 123.20 JUL100146-M BATMAN AND ROBIN #16 -- 85,501
6. 122.61 SEP100192-M BRIGHTEST DAY #13 -- 85,091
7. 120.30 SEP100194-M BRIGHTEST DAY #14 -- 83,488
8. 118.13 SEP100569-M AMAZING SPIDER-MAN #648 -- 81,982
9. 116.81 AUG100117-M GREEN LANTERN #59 -- 81,066
10. 108.26 SEP100166-M BATMAN AND ROBIN #17 -- 75,132
11. 102.32 SEP100586 NEW AVENGERS #6 -- 71,010
12. 100.00 SEP100164 BATMAN #704 -- 69,400
13. 92.01 SEP100584-M SECRET AVENGERS #7 -- 63,855
14. 88.95 SEP100665 UNCANNY X-MEN #530 -- 61,731
15. 88.44 JUL100129-M FLASH #6 -- 61,377
16. 88.09 SEP100202-M GREEN LANTERN CORPS #54 -- 61,134
17. 86.87 SEP100661-M X-MEN #5 -- 60,288
18. 86.67 SEP100657 UNCANNY X-FORCE #2 -- 60,149
19. 85.60 AUG100558-M AMAZING SPIDER-MAN #647 -- 59,406
20. 80.64 SEP100574 AMAZING SPIDER-MAN #649 -- 55,964
Granted, these numbers could be seriously off, but if my calculations are anywhere close to these figures, this would mean that Amazing Spider-Man, in spite of the much touted new direction of "Big Time," is now averaging 55K for regular, non variant issues--meaning that, in terms of IcV2 estimates, it would at the same levels it was before "Big Time" even started.
Sure its less issues but the price is still only $1 cheaper so it wont attract the money hold outs. (I define those as the ones whom were fine with $3 to $4 a month.... $8 is still twice what seems to be the max they wished to spend.)
Perfect humility dispenses with modesty.
What's most disconcerting is that the culmination of a major story, Bruce Wayne's return, written by a major talent and drawn by a major talent barely broke the century mark (if still's calculations are correct--ICv2 does a calculation as well).
I wonder how many of the hc and tpb buyers also purchase the floppies and how many purchase only the bound editions.
Also, don't forget that perhaps one of the reasons Amazing Spider-Man #649 may have been under-ordered was because it came out during the same week as Thanksgiving, so they might have figured there would be fewer people picking up comics for that Wednesday.