PDA

View Full Version : Start looking for a new excuse


K'Nort
11-21-2005, 01:37 PM
Beer goggles disproven....

Although alcohol use has traditionally been associated with risky sexual behavior, there is still a question as to whether excess alcohol consumption causes an increase of risky sexual behavior among young adults. In An Investigation of the Effects of Alcohol Consumption and Alcohol Policies on Youth Risky Sexual Behaviors (NBER Working Paper No. 11378) (http://papers.nber.org/papers/w11378), co-authors Sara Markowitz, Robert Kaestner, and Michael Grossman ask whether alcohol use promotes risky sexual behavior and whether there are public policies that can reduce risky sexual behavior by reducing alcohol use.

The authors look at the influence of alcohol consumption on individual behavior using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth and the biennial Youth Risk Behavior Surveys. Alcohol use was defined as the number of days in the past 30 days that an individual reported having had at least one drink of alcohol and the number of days on which five or more drinks were consumed. They conclude that, "there appears to be no evidence suggesting a causal role of alcohol use in determining the probability of having sex." There was some evidence, however, suggesting that alcohol consumption does "lower the probabilities of using birth control and condoms" among sexually active teens.

The authors use aggregate data on the reported incidence of gonorrhea and AIDS infections by state to measure whether state and federal taxes on beer, county laws banning alcohol sales, laws governing blood alcohol levels, and zero tolerance laws for underage drinking and driving affect infection rates. Though women appear unaffected, zero tolerance laws appear to decrease the gonorrhea rate in males aged 15-19, and a one percent increase in beer taxes is associated a 1.1 percent reduction in the gonorrhea rate in young men aged 15-19 and 20-24. Neither the percentage of the population living in dry counties nor laws controlling blood alcohol rates affected either rate of infection.


And to address the obvious question,

HISTORY OF THE NBER
Founded in 1920, the National Bureau of Economic Research is a private, nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to promoting a greater understanding of how the economy works. The NBER is committed to undertaking and disseminating unbiased economic research among public policymakers, business professionals, and the academic community.

Over the years the Bureau's research agenda has encompassed a wide variety of issues that confront our society. The Bureau's early research focused on the aggregate economy, examining in detail the business cycle and long-term economic growth. Simon Kuznets' pioneering work on national income accounting, Wesley Mitchell's influential study of the business cycle, and Milton Friedman's research on the demand for money and the determinants of consumer spending were among the early studies done at the NBER.

THE NBER TODAY
The NBER is the nation's leading nonprofit economic research organization. Sixteen of the 31 American Nobel Prize winners in Economics and six of the past Chairmen of the President's Council of Economic Advisers have been researchers at the NBER. The more than 600 professors of economics and business now teaching at universities around the country who are NBER researchers are the leading scholars in their fields. These Bureau associates concentrate on four types of empirical research: developing new statistical measurements, estimating quantitative models of economic behavior, assessing the effects of public policies on the U.S. economy, and projecting the effects of alternative policy proposals.

I'd never heard of them, but that sounds good. Heard a blurb on NPR this weekend. And media reports on the new Greenspan guy mention membership in NBER as one of his qualifications.

Xetal
11-21-2005, 02:55 PM
I still say beauty is in the eye of the beer-holder. ;)

Michael P
11-21-2005, 03:02 PM
The obvious question for *me* is, how do we know the people they surveyed weren't lying?

Dr. Hfuhruhurr
11-21-2005, 03:05 PM
I have to say that after my years of personal experience in testing the Beer Goggles Theory, that study is crap. I suppose now someone's going to say that we have to start teaching Inebriated Design alongside Beer Goggles in our public colleges and universities. After all, it's only a "theory."

Grazzt
11-21-2005, 03:12 PM
Couldn't it just be that the drunk people are sleeping with the more sober people, throwing the numbers of the study off?